Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 101804.935042 107266.862770 112722.672272 118577.709008 124679.638319 130847.754972 137550.363334
2025-10-19 92787.125361 101128.143622 109686.039130 119111.977520 129191.586892 139636.123790 151265.881065
2025-10-26 86071.869246 96364.482734 107150.656092 119274.883813 132500.948502 146468.647936 162312.082603
2025-11-02 81076.750428 92845.049266 105397.974626 119748.103794 135661.237937 152729.286311 172382.169605
2025-11-09 76695.204458 89597.208365 103575.528586 119792.360639 138033.321754 157861.426083 180987.851467
2025-11-16 73768.092133 87719.837335 103045.571635 121057.819067 141572.278747 164132.611530 190740.311822
2025-11-23 70420.556105 85148.460144 101537.608622 121034.224615 143497.354183 168467.316747 198219.601859
2025-11-30 68435.682172 84007.389974 101539.067788 122622.599246 147166.071122 174710.093865 207827.765776
2025-12-07 66351.442796 82627.825347 101157.112692 123670.165960 150133.293978 180098.162997 216431.918664
2025-12-14 63870.771103 80661.091984 99982.608195 123692.564680 151824.505638 183953.393467 223226.904526
2025-12-21 61769.375009 79052.056550 99144.202009 124031.811654 153821.519503 188117.731224 230357.179254
2025-12-28 60591.515144 78497.133959 99508.893959 125758.787121 157430.724970 194159.587319 239703.226240
2026-01-04 59310.192754 77780.700299 99658.278787 127222.693246 160744.322216 199897.657870 248772.918476
2026-01-11 57761.136069 76675.561638 99287.348101 128017.055609 163228.963607 204647.146344 256689.104921
2026-01-18 56022.914721 75270.193302 98491.712280 128241.395963 164983.429384 208500.427195 263530.067034
2026-01-25 54533.112580 74122.843105 97966.199631 128755.201083 167058.936501 212723.570338 270819.468021
2026-02-01 52906.763485 72745.769252 97103.987939 128804.788540 168526.976869 216188.088546 277184.373247
2026-02-08 51979.036170 72230.587107 97294.807527 130148.262735 171584.680388 221593.660441 285939.104936
2026-02-15 50473.834703 70917.853467 96431.697783 130123.360011 172905.279864 224850.012458 292056.346008
2026-02-22 49813.966658 70685.443531 96926.914084 131808.741706 176368.422030 230760.692905 301477.591522
2026-03-01 48936.784694 70135.607776 96988.553387 132920.146547 179097.088575 235763.949002 309796.596269
2026-03-08 47632.971947 68979.037964 96229.456129 132943.910547 180420.552216 239002.668846 315920.748171
2026-03-15 46529.885710 68059.186873 95749.850213 133303.807036 182155.111620 242749.648874 322689.324605